Quantifying Storm Tide Risk in Cairns   总被引：6，自引：5，他引：6  

Ken Granger 《Natural Hazards》2003,30(2):165-185

The United Nations International Decade for Natural Disaster Reduction (IDNDR)gave rise to an increasing level of attention to the risks posed by a range of naturalhazards and the development of strategies by which to reduce those risks. It waswidely recognised that in order to evaluate risk treatment strategies it was necessaryto `measure' the level of risk that already existed and the level of risk that would beencountered with the treatment strategy(s) in place.This paper outlines the methodology developed under the AGSO (now GeoscienceAustralia) Cities Project to quantify the risk associated with storm tide inundation. It includes the methodology for `measuring' the level of community exposure to storm tide hazards and the methodology for `measuring' community vulnerability. The Far North Queensland city of Cairns is used as the case study to demonstrate the application of these methods.  相似文献   

井孔变径与井水位的固体潮效应          下载免费PDF全文

王尤培  王晓闽 《地震地质》1997,19(3):90-287

根据多孔介质渗流理论和弹性理论，在井孔变径条件下，得出水井含水层系统对潮汐信号响应的偏微分方程，认为井径变化相当于改变了井水柱的有效高度，从而影响了水井含水层系统的固有振动周期。分析了井孔变径对潮汐信号响应的周期特征，认为当含水层水体很大（含水层水平面积比井孔面积大得多），且含水层的渗透系数也很大的条件下，井径变化对井水位固体潮响应幅度影响很小  相似文献   

Earth tide of ground tilt at stations of Qianxian and Xi’an and its tectonic explanation     

Hui-Ling Zhang 《地震学报(英文版)》1997,10(2):273-277

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Assimilating data into open ocean tidal models     

Gennady A. Kivman 《Surveys in Geophysics》1997,18(6):621-643

The problem of deriving tidal fields from observations by reason of incompleteness and imperfectness of every data set practically available has an infinitely large number of allowable solutions fitting the data within measurement errors and hence can be treated as ill-posed. Therefore, interpolating the data always relies on some a priori assumptions concerning the tides, which provide a rule of sampling or, in other words, a regularization of the ill-posed problem. Data assimilation procedures used in large scale tide modeling are viewed in a common mathematical framework as such regularizations. It is shown that they all (basis functions expansion, parameter estimation, nudging, objective analysis, general inversion, and extended general inversion), including those (objective analysis and general inversion) originally formulated in stochastic terms, may be considered as utilizations of one of the three general methods suggested by the theory of ill-posed problems. The problem of grid refinement critical for inverse methods and nudging is discussed.  相似文献   

Maximum Storm Surge Curve Due to Global Warming for the European North Sea Region During the 20th–21st Century     

Gönnert  Gabriele 《Natural Hazards》2004,32(2):211-218

Computations of storm surges during the 20th century needs to incorporate globalwarming of about 0.6 °C ± 0.2 °C (IPCC, 2001). In order totake this global warming into consideration, the development of all storm surgesoccurred during the 20th century have been analysed. The study comprises determiningto what degree the storm surge curve and storm surge level depend on each other. Thisfact can be used to calculate a maximum storm surge curve and each single storm surgeevent can be summarised. The tendency of the surge and wind parameters do not showthat this maximum storm surge levels in the 20th century will occur earlier than predicted, however, the global warming of 0.6 °C will extend the duration of the mean storm surge curve.  相似文献   

Preliminary study on variation characteristics of ocean tide dynamic stress in crust and its relationship with earthquakes   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

陆明勇  郑文衡 《地震学报(英文版)》2005,18(3):303-312

~~Preliminary study on variation characteristics of ocean tide dynamic stress in crust and its relationship with earthquakes@陆明勇$China Center for Earthquake Disaster Emergency and SAR,Beijing 100049,China @郑文衡$Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430074,China①Strong earthquake catalogues in China. Earthquake catalogues reported monthly by Center for Analysis and Prediction, CEA. ①YI Zhi-gang. Institute of Crustal Dynamics, China Earthquake Administrati…  相似文献   

Distribution of chlorophyll-a off the Changjiang River and its dynamic cause interpretation   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：1  

ZHU Jianrong State Key Laboratory of Estuarine  Coastal Research  East China Normal University  Shanghai  China 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》2005,48(7)

Red tide,also called harmful algal bloom interna-tionally,is a disaster abnormal phenomenon of oceanecology with an explosive breed or dense assemble ofone or several phytoplanktons in a specific ocean en-vironment condition,colors the seawater,influencesand harms ocean living things.The formation of redtide is controlled mainly by a complex interplay ofbiological,physical and chemical processes,but themost main cause influencing the occurrence of red tideis the seawater eutrophication,i.e.,the…  相似文献   

渭北东部奥陶系岩溶地下水环境同位素特征分     

何渊 李亮黄金廷  范基姣 《地下水》2005,27(6):454-456

本文通过对渭北东部岩溶地下水环境同位素组成特征的研究，分析了大气降水、地表水、地下水三者之间的转化关系，并对研究区岩溶地下水的形成进行了初步探讨，认为大气降水是研究区岩溶地下水的补给源，地表水与地下水之间存在水力联系，地表水对地下水的补给占补给水源的74.3％。西部岩溶裸露区为岩溶水的直接补给区，其周边浅埋区为岩溶水的间接补给区，东南部的岩溶中-深埋区为岩溶水的径流排泄区。  相似文献   

天津沿海赤潮发生的基本特征研究     

张琪  孙家伟  冯延竹  李希彬  王鲁宁  崔健 《海洋预报》2020,37(1):62-66

使用《天津市海洋环境状况公报》中的数据,分析天津沿海赤潮发生的特征。通过分析发现2005-2017年天津海域共发生赤潮30次,累计发生面积4 695 km2。天津沿海赤潮发生主要集中在夏季,又以8月最多,占赤潮发生总数的30%。通过赤潮优势种的分析发现近年来天津海域赤潮生物的优势种类有不断增加的趋势。同时本文从水文气象条件诱发赤潮的角度分析得出了天津沿海最易发生赤潮的天气形势,天津沿海25~27℃水温范围内赤潮发生较多,最适宜赤潮发生的风速为3、4级风,风向为东南风、西南风。  相似文献   

Instantaneous Shorelines as an Intermediate for Island Shoreline Mapping based on Aerial/Satellite Stereo Images     

Yamin Dang  Xinghua Zhou  Jun Xu  Shuqiang Xue 《Marine Geodesy》2018,41(3):219-229

Island shoreline mapping based on field measurements by collecting visually discernible features is costly and even unrealistic to be implemented in practice because of the nonuniqueness, fuzziness, and ambiguity of shoreline features. The MHHW (the mean higher high water) shoreline, i.e., the intersection of the coastal profile with the MHHW, is recommended to be chosen as a significant shoreline indicator of an island. An approach for mapping the MHHW shoreline using the aerial/satellite stereo images is proposed. In the proposed procedure, first, the height difference between the instantaneous shoreline and the MHHW shoreline is calculated by the ocean tide model; then the orthometric/normal height of the instantaneous shoreline is determined from the stereo images; last, the instantaneous shoreline is used as an intermediate for determination of the height of the MHHW shoreline. The proposed procedure is applied to the MiaoZiHu Island located in the East China Sea. Preliminary experimental result shows that in ideal cases, the horizontal positional accuracy of the extracted shoreline can reach 0.2 m from aerial images of 0.1 m resolution.  相似文献